{"id":3513,"date":"2024-02-09T01:28:17","date_gmt":"2024-02-09T01:28:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/?p=3513"},"modified":"2024-12-25T02:08:25","modified_gmt":"2024-12-25T02:08:25","slug":"cred-iqs-overall-distress-rate-increased-in-january-office-climbs-back-above-10","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/2024\/02\/09\/cred-iqs-overall-distress-rate-increased-in-january-office-climbs-back-above-10\/","title":{"rendered":"CRED iQ\u2019s Overall Distress Rate Increased in January. Office climbs back above 10%"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>CRED iQ aggregated all of the payment statuses reported by each loan in January as well as its special servicing status to arrive at the Overall Distress Rate.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CRED iQ&#8217;s overall distress rate for CMBS increased by 22 basis points in January to 7.39% from 7.17% &#8211; snapping a two-month streak of declines.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The office segment added 55 basis points in January following a 315-point increase in December. Office has now crested over 10% in overall distress for the first time since October.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Meanwhile, multifamily, retail, and hotel sectors all saw decreases in the January print.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CRED iQ\u2019soverall distress rate aggregates the two indicators of distress \u2013 delinquency rate and special servicing rate \u2013 into an overall distressed rate.&nbsp; This includes any loan with a payment status of 30+ days or worse, any loan actively with the special servicer, and includes non-performing and performing loans that have failed to pay off at maturity.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"875\" height=\"682\" src=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3521\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image.png 875w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-300x234.png 300w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-768x599.png 768w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-696x542.png 696w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/image-150x117.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 875px) 100vw, 875px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The CRED iQ delinquency rate rose in parallel with the overall distress rate \u2013adding 23 basis points, while the specially serviced rate shaved off 5 basis points.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The self-storage segment, which has spent most of the past 12 months under 1.0% in overall distress, saw its overall distress level skyrocket in January.&nbsp; Most of this is attributable a $2.1 billion loan backed by a 112,084 SF <a href=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/browse?q=SMRT+2022-MINI\">portfolio<\/a> consisting of 16 self-storage properties throughout New York City. The loan passed its January 9, 2024 maturity date, but continues to perform. The loan was added to the servicer\u2019s watchlist in December due to upcoming maturity. Servicer commentary indicates the borrower\u2019s request for a maturity extension is being reviewed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Office remains the segment with consistently highest percentage of overall distress at 10.50% (excluding this month\u2019s self-storage spike, which we expect to come down to its normal trend of below 1.0%).<strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, <a href=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/browse\/Property\/Office\/One%20Market%20Street-San%20Francisco-CA-94105\/ompt20171mkt1F001789559678\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">One Market Plaza<\/a>, a 1.6 million SF office tower in San Francisco, is backed by a $975.0 million loan that transferred to the special servicer in January due to the February 6, 2024 maturity. Servicer commentary indicates the borrower is discussing a potential extension. The property was 95.8% occupied as of September 2023 with Google (21.6% of GLA) being the largest tenant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"718\" height=\"648\" src=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Heat-Map-Jan-2024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3518\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Heat-Map-Jan-2024.jpg 718w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Heat-Map-Jan-2024-300x271.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Heat-Map-Jan-2024-696x628.jpg 696w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Heat-Map-Jan-2024-150x135.jpg 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 718px) 100vw, 718px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>The industrial segment, once again, saw the greatest decrease in overall delinquency\u2014dropping 24 basis points in January following a whopping 3.8% reduction in December. We have discussed the anomalies in the Industrial prints in October and November largely attributable to the&nbsp; the $2.2 billion industrial portfolio (<a href=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/browse?q=BX+Trust+2021-ACNT\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">BX Trust 2021-ACNT<\/a>) that failed to pay off on its initial November 9, 2023 maturity date is now listed as current by its servicer, Key Bank.&nbsp; Industrial now settles back to familiar territory of 0.32% overall distress.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-50 is-style-round\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-midnight-gradient-background has-background\" href=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/subscribe\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Sign Up for CRED iQ Today<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About CRED iQ<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CRED iQ is a commercial real estate data, analytics, and valuation platform providing actionable intelligence to CRE and capital markets investors. Subscribers use the platform to identify valuable leads for leasing, lending, refinancing, distressed debt, and acquisition opportunities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The platform also offers a highly efficient valuation engine which can be leveraged across all property types and geographies. Our data platform is powered by over $2.0 trillion in transactions and data covering CRE, CMBS, CRE CLO, Single Asset Single Borrower (SASB), and all of GSE \/ Agency.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CRED iQ aggregated all of the payment statuses reported by each loan in January as well as its special servicing status to arrive at the Overall Distress Rate. CRED iQ&#8217;s overall distress rate for CMBS increased by 22 basis points in January to 7.39% from 7.17% &#8211; snapping a two-month streak of declines. The office [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":3516,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13,9,3],"tags":[4,5,6,7,21,8,22,23,14],"class_list":{"0":"post-3513","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cmbs-delinquency-report","8":"category-research","9":"category-top-stories","10":"tag-cmbs","11":"tag-commercial-real-estate-data","12":"tag-delinquency","13":"tag-distressed-properties","14":"tag-distressed-rates","15":"tag-loan-data","16":"tag-office","17":"tag-self-storage","18":"tag-special-servicing"},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3513","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3513"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3513\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4277,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3513\/revisions\/4277"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3516"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3513"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3513"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3513"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}