{"id":4510,"date":"2025-03-06T18:04:59","date_gmt":"2025-03-06T18:04:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/?p=4510"},"modified":"2025-03-06T18:05:00","modified_gmt":"2025-03-06T18:05:00","slug":"cred-iqs-overall-office-distress-climbs-to-19-3-while-the-overall-distress-rate-logs-its-first-decrease-in-five-months","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/2025\/03\/06\/cred-iqs-overall-office-distress-climbs-to-19-3-while-the-overall-distress-rate-logs-its-first-decrease-in-five-months\/","title":{"rendered":"CRED iQ\u2019s Overall Office Distress Climbs to 19.3%, While the Overall Distress Rate Logs its First Decrease in Five Months"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The CRED iQ research team evaluated payment statuses reported for each loan (securitized by CMBS financing), along with special servicing status as part of our monthly distress update.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The CRED iQ overall distress rate fell by 70 basis points to 10.8%, breaking a streak of four record highs through last month\u2019s print.&nbsp; CRED iQ\u2019s other distress metrics also notched month-over-month reductions. &nbsp;The CRED iQ delinquency rate fell from from 8.9% in the January print to 8.0%.&nbsp; The CRED iQ special serving rate shaved 20 points this month and now stands at 10.1%.&nbsp; One year ago, delinquency and special servicing rates were 5.4% and 7.0% respectively.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4512\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025.png 960w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025-696x696.png 696w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-Feb-2025-420x420.png 420w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Segment Review<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The office sector nearly matched December\u2019s increase, which was the largest by far in 2024. Office missed that mark by only 10BP, tacking on 160 BP since last month to reach a record 19.3% distress rate. Office continues to bolster a commanding lead as the most distressed property type<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The multi-family segment\u2019s overall distress rate continued to climb modestly in January (up 40 BP) and February &nbsp;added 10 basis points to 13.0%.&nbsp; Multifamily has earned a distant second place in the distressed property type rankings<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The retail and hotel segments continue to battle for third while posting modest changes.&nbsp; Retail (10.7% &#8211;down 10 BP) holding on to third place and hotel (10.2% down 20 BP) is nipping at the heels.&nbsp; Retail has notched three successive months of modest distress rate decreases.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>As predicted in our last report, the self-storage print of 14.2% was misleading and due to a 16 property ~$2B portfolio reaching maturity. The service commentary indicates the first of three one-year extension options is being exercised.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0Accordingly, self storage normalized back down to 2.0% in this print.\u00a0 Industrial also normalized with a 110 basis point decrease to reach a familiar territory (sub 1%) at 0.5%.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4513\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025.png 960w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025-696x696.png 696w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Rates-by-Property-Type-Feb-2025-420x420.png 420w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Payment Status<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Our team explored payment status as well.&nbsp; From a month-over-month perspective, we highlight two key takeaways that are similarly sized<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The Non-Performing Matured category saw a decrease of 370 basis points to 36.6%<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The Current category saw an increase of 380 basis points\u00a0 to 18.6%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>All other categories saw more modest changes since our previous print.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Combining current with late but in the grace period and late by last than 30 days delinquent, this \u2018wider current\u2019 metric continued to grow, logging a \u00a025.8% print\u00a0(a 310 basis point favorable swing).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Combining performing matured with non-performing matured, January saw a significant decrease from 61.7% to 56.4% in February.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-4514\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025.png 960w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025-696x696.png 696w, https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/CRED-iQ-CMBS-Distressed-Loan-Payment-Status-Feb-2025-420x420.png 420w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p><strong>Analysis Methodology<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CRED iQ\u2019s distress rate factors in all CMBS properties that are securitized in conduits and single-borrower large loan deal types.&nbsp; CRED iQ tracks Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae, Ginnie Mae, and CRE CLO loan metrics in separate analyses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>CRED iQ\u2019s distress rate aggregates the two indicators of distress \u2013 delinquency rate and specially serviced rate \u2013 yielding the distress rate. The index includes any loan with a payment status of 30+ days delinquent or worse, any loan actively with the special servicer, and includes non-performing and performing loans that have failed to pay off at maturity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-core-buttons-is-layout-16018d1d wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-50 is-style-round\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-vivid-cyan-blue-to-vivid-purple-gradient-background has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/pages.cred-iq.com\/trialrequest\">Access CRED iQ Data<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>About CRED iQ<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/about\">CRED iQ<\/a>&nbsp;is a market data provider that offers a robust suite of data and software solutions tailored for commercial real estate and finance professionals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>With over $2.3 trillion of CRE loans, CRED iQ delivers instant access to a comprehensive range of financial data and analytics for millions of properties in every market. CRED iQ\u2019s data and analytical capabilities are instrumental in helping investors, lenders and brokers make informed and strategic decisions critical to their business.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>THE DATA, INFORMATION AND\/OR RELATED MATERAL (\u201cDELIVERABLES\u201d) IS BEING OFFERED AS-IS\/WHERE-AS CONDITION. CRED-IQ MAKES NO REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY AS TO QUALITY OR ACCURACY OF SUCH DELIVERABLES BEING PURCHASED, WHETHER EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, EITHER IN FACT OR BY OPERATION OF LAW, STATUTE, OR OTHERWISE, AND CRED-IQ SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL IMPLIED OR STATUTORY WARRANTIES INCLUDING WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND OF FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, TECHNICAL PERFORMANCE, AND NON-INFRINGEMENT. WITHOUT LIMITING THE FOREGOING, YOU AS CUSTOMER ACKNOWLEDGE THAT YOU HAVE NOT AND ARE NOT RELYING UPON ANY IMPLIED WARRANTY OF MERCHANTABILITY OR OF FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR OTHERWISE, OR UPON ANY REPRESENTATION OR WARRANTY WHATSOEVER AS TO THE DELIVERABLES&nbsp; IN ANY REGARDS WHATSOEVER, AND ACKNOWLEDGE&nbsp; THAT CRED-IQ MAKES NO, AND HEREBY DISCLAIMS ANY, REPRESENTATION, WARRANTY OR GUARANTEE THAT THE PURCHASE, USE OR COMMERCIALIZATION OF ANY DELIVERABLES WILL BE USEFUL TO YOU OR FREE FROM INTERFERENCE. BY ACCEPTANCE OF THE DELIVERABLES, YOU HEREBY RELEASE CRED-IQ AND ITS AFFILIATES AND AGENTS FROM ALL CLAIMS, DAMAGES AND LIABILITY ARISING HEREUNDER.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The CRED iQ research team evaluated payment statuses reported for each loan (securitized by CMBS financing), along with special servicing status as part of our monthly distress update. The CRED iQ overall distress rate fell by 70 basis points to 10.8%, breaking a streak of four record highs through last month\u2019s print.&nbsp; CRED iQ\u2019s other [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4511,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"tdm_status":"","tdm_grid_status":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[4,5,6,7,8],"class_list":{"0":"post-4510","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-cmbs-delinquency-report","8":"tag-cmbs","9":"tag-commercial-real-estate-data","10":"tag-delinquency","11":"tag-distressed-properties","12":"tag-loan-data"},"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4510","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4510"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4510\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4517,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4510\/revisions\/4517"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4510"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4510"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cred-iq.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4510"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}